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VANGUARD A/B TEST

A redesign test: +3.71 points completion, short of the 5-point goal

A redesign can improve a number and still miss its goal. This experiment measured the difference honestly.

The question

Did a redesigned online process help more people finish, by enough to justify the change?

Seconds on each step for control and redesignBackward transitions rose from 6.82% to 9.19% of web events

The result

Completion rose from 65.58% to 69.29%. That is a real improvement of 3.71 percentage points, and it stays below the 5-point goal. Backward transitions also rose from 6.82% to 9.19% of web events, which argues against an unconditional rollout.

Completion rate of 65.58% for control and 69.29% for the redesign, below the 5-point goal

Redrawn from the project's published results.

65.58%Completion, control group
69.29%Completion, redesign
+3.71 ptsLift, against a 5-point goal
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